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Toronto Blue Jays 00 Cleveland Guardians

68–71Toronto Blue Jays · .489
70–68Cleveland Guardians · .507
first pitch
Progressive Fieldvenue
34,788capacity

Probable starters

Toronto Blue Jays
9–5 · 2.33 ERA · 217 K in 150 IP
Career: 74–63 · 3.68 ERA · 1,448 K
Cleveland Guardians
9–7 · 3.70 ERA · 145 K in 136 IP
Career: 16–14 · 3.70 ERA · 297 K

Lineups

Toronto Blue Jaysactive roster · lineup not posted
262BCharles McAdoo.620
92BJosh Smith.608
73BKazuma Okamoto.748
59CBrandon Valenzuela.683
21CFBrett Bateman.757
20DHSean Keys.467
33PRicky Tiedemann3.38
62PSpencer Miles2.88
38RFNathan Lukes.699
Cleveland Guardiansactive roster · lineup not posted
172BAngel Genao.707
372BTravis Bazzana.694
38LFSteven Kwan.711
36PCade Smith2.36
23PCraig Yoho4.60
52PMatt Festa3.55
29PTim Herrin3.14
24RFChase DeLauter.812
6RFDavid Fry.650
7RFJo Adell.705

Head to head

237–228Cleveland Guardians all-time
467meetings
1977first met
2,180–2,152runs
Recent meetings
2026-04-264–2Toronto Blue Jays won
2026-04-255–3Toronto Blue Jays won
2026-04-246–8Cleveland Guardians won
2025-06-266–0Toronto Blue Jays won
2025-06-254–5Cleveland Guardians won
2025-06-2410–6Toronto Blue Jays won
2025-05-044–5Cleveland Guardians won
2025-05-033–5Cleveland Guardians won

Projection

52%Cleveland Guardians win probability
3.6 – 3.5projected score
0–7 / 1–780% ranges

Starting pitchers

Dylan CeaseToronto Blue Jays
Innings5.5 3.7–7.3
Strikeouts6.8 4–10
Walks2.5 1–5
Hits allowed4.5 2–7
Home runs0.5 0–1
Runs allowed1.9 0–5
Pitches88 63–114
3+ strikeouts96%
4+ strikeouts91%
5+ strikeouts81%
6+ strikeouts67%
7+ strikeouts52%
8+ strikeouts37%
Joey CantilloCleveland Guardians
Innings4.9 3.3–6.7
Strikeouts4.8 2–8
Walks2.0 0–4
Hits allowed4.4 2–7
Home runs0.4 0–1
Runs allowed1.9 0–4
Pitches81 60–103
2+ strikeouts97%
3+ strikeouts87%
4+ strikeouts70%
5+ strikeouts52%
6+ strikeouts35%
7+ strikeouts20%
Each figure is the median of the simulated games with an 80% range beside it. Pitch counts are estimated from batters faced (fitted on 17,200 real outings; typical error 8 pitches). These assume the starter is not pulled early for a reason the model cannot see — an injury, a blowout, or a quick hook.
Estimates, not predictions. Full projection and how it was measured.