Philadelphia Phillies 8 – 0 Baltimore Orioles
The three rarest things in this game
| Rarity | What | Who | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 RBI | Bryan De La Cruz | 1 in 37 player-games |
| 1 | 2 walks | Bryson Stott | 1 in 23 player-games |
| 0 | 1 home run allowed | Kyle Bradish | 1 in 5 pitcher-games |
59–53Philadelphia Phillies · .527
54–58Baltimore Orioles · .482
first pitch
Oriole Park at Camden Yardsvenue
42,455capacity
Line score
RHEPhiladelphia Phillies890Baltimore Orioles040
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Starting pitchers
Philadelphia Phillies
14–5 · 3.00 ERA · 193 K in 162 IP
Career: 127–80 · 3.26 ERA · 2,013 K
Lineups
Head to head
42–37Baltimore Orioles all-time
79meetings
1983first met
393–365runs
Recent meetings
2026-08-028–0Philadelphia Phillies won
2026-08-015–0Philadelphia Phillies won
2026-07-314–6Baltimore Orioles won
2025-08-061–5Baltimore Orioles won
2025-08-055–0Philadelphia Phillies won
2025-08-0413–3Philadelphia Phillies won
2024-06-163–8Baltimore Orioles won
2024-06-152–6Baltimore Orioles won
Box score
Philadelphia Phillies batting
| Batter | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 4 | 2 | ||||
| Justin Crawford | 3 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Trea Turner | 3 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Bryce Harper | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Brandon Marsh | 3 | 1 | ||||
| J.T. Realmuto | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Bryan De La Cruz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | ||
| Kyle Schwarber | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Bryson Stott | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Philadelphia Phillies pitching
| Pitcher | IP | H | R | BB | K | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 |
| Tim Mayza | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 |
| Kyle Backhus | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 |
Baltimore Orioles batting
| Batter | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Beavers | 3 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Pete Alonso | 2 | 1 | ||||
| Taylor Ward | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Jake Rogers | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Gunnar Henderson | 2 | 0 | ||||
| Jackson Holliday | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 2 | 0 | ||||
| Leody Taveras | 2 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Colton Cowser | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Baltimore Orioles pitching
| Pitcher | IP | H | R | BB | K | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 2.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 53 |
| Anthony Nunez | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| Albert Suárez | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Josh Walker | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
Every inning
Open an inning for its plate appearances; open a plate appearance for every pitch.
Top 1Philadelphia Philliesscoreless · 0 hits · 10 pitches
1 topTrea TurnerGroundout 48.3 mph1p
Trea Turner grounds out, third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to first baseman Pete Alonso.
48.3 mph off the bat · -4° launch · 24 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 95.9 | 88.3 | 2,249 | – | – | 6.2 | 0.391 | 48.3 | In play, out(s) |
1 topKyle SchwarberStrikeout4p
Kyle Schwarber called out on strikes.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 95.5 | 88.4 | 2,351 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.393 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Curveball | 85.6 | 80.0 | 2,646 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.440 | Ball | |
| 3 | Curveball | 85.5 | 79.5 | 2,704 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.441 | Swinging Strike | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 95.8 | 89.3 | 2,435 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.390 | Called Strike |
1 topBryce HarperStrikeout5p
Bryce Harper strikes out swinging.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 96.1 | 88.0 | 2,229 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.392 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.2 | 89.1 | 2,468 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.390 | Swinging Strike | |
| 3 | Sinker | 96.6 | 88.4 | 2,189 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.389 | Foul | |
| 4 | Sinker | 96.8 | 89.4 | 2,247 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.387 | Ball | |
| 5 | Curveball | 87.0 | 80.6 | 2,667 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.433 | Swinging Strike (Blocked) |
Bottom 1Baltimore Oriolesscoreless · 1 hit · 20 pitches
1 botDylan BeaversStrikeout5p
Dylan Beavers strikes out swinging.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 95.3 | 87.8 | 2,397 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.394 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Cutter | 90.2 | 84.0 | 2,344 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.415 | Ball | |
| 3 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.2 | 86.9 | 2,346 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.397 | Called Strike | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 95.2 | 87.1 | 2,341 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.395 | Foul | |
| 5 | Curveball | 80.7 | 75.4 | 2,874 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.464 | Swinging Strike |
1 botPete AlonsoSingle 103.6 mph8p
Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford.
103.6 mph off the bat · -1° launch · 36 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.0 | 88.5 | 2,545 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.391 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Sweeper | 81.4 | 75.6 | 2,789 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.461 | Ball | |
| 3 | Sweeper | 81.9 | 75.9 | 2,800 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.458 | Called Strike | |
| 4 | Sinker | 95.3 | 87.6 | 2,346 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.395 | Ball | |
| 5 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.2 | 88.1 | 2,560 | – | – | 7.4 | 0.391 | Foul | |
| 6 | Sinker | 96.0 | 88.7 | 2,381 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.391 | Ball | |
| 7 | Splitter | 88.9 | 82.2 | 1,540 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.422 | Foul | |
| 8 | Sweeper | 82.1 | 75.9 | 2,810 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.458 | 103.6 | In play, no out |
1 botGunnar HendersonFlyout 81.4 mph3p
Gunnar Henderson flies out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
81.4 mph off the bat · 33° launch · 292 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 95.1 | 87.5 | 2,363 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.395 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.9 | 87.0 | 2,377 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.396 | Swinging Strike | |
| 3 | Curveball | 80.0 | 74.2 | 2,807 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.470 | 81.4 | In play, out(s) |
1 botTaylor WardStrikeout4p
Taylor Ward called out on strikes.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 94.5 | 87.7 | 2,304 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.396 | Ball | |
| 2 | Four-Seam Fastball | 95.0 | 87.5 | 2,426 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.394 | Swinging Strike | |
| 3 | Sweeper | 80.6 | 74.5 | 2,718 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.466 | Foul | |
| 4 | Sinker | 94.6 | 86.4 | 2,277 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.398 | Called Strike |
Top 2Philadelphia Philliesscoreless · 0 hits · 16 pitches
2 topAlec BohmFlyout 81.0 mph8p
Alec Bohm flies out to right fielder Leody Taveras.
81 mph off the bat · 40° launch · 276 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 94.0 | 86.3 | 2,168 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.400 | Foul | |
| 2 | Sinker | 94.0 | 85.5 | 2,141 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.401 | Foul | |
| 3 | Slider | 87.6 | 80.8 | 2,494 | – | – | 6.2 | 0.429 | Foul | |
| 4 | Slider | 86.6 | 79.9 | 2,515 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.436 | Ball | |
| 5 | Sinker | 96.2 | 88.7 | 2,106 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.389 | Ball | |
| 6 | Sinker | 96.3 | 88.9 | 2,025 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.389 | Foul | |
| 7 | Curveball | 86.9 | 81.1 | 2,561 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.433 | Ball | |
| 8 | Slider | 88.5 | 82.1 | 2,562 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.424 | 81 | In play, out(s) |
2 topBrandon MarshFlyout 88.3 mph4p
Brandon Marsh flies out to right fielder Leody Taveras.
88.3 mph off the bat · 34° launch · 334 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.7 | 87.9 | 2,440 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.394 | Ball | |
| 2 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.6 | 87.9 | 2,470 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.395 | Foul | |
| 3 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.9 | 88.0 | 2,432 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.394 | Ball | |
| 4 | Curveball | 83.6 | 77.5 | 2,548 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.449 | 88.3 | In play, out(s) |
2 topJ.T. RealmutoFlyout 104.4 mph4p
J.T. Realmuto flies out sharply to center fielder Colton Cowser.
104.4 mph off the bat · 40° launch · 398 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slider | 85.8 | 78.8 | 2,511 | – | – | 6.2 | 0.438 | Ball | |
| 2 | Sinker | 94.6 | 87.0 | 2,232 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.397 | Called Strike | |
| 3 | Curveball | 85.3 | 79.2 | 2,584 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.441 | Ball | |
| 4 | Sinker | 93.8 | 85.5 | 2,145 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.403 | 104.4 | In play, out(s) |
Bottom 2Baltimore Oriolesscoreless · 0 hits · 12 pitches
2 botJackson HollidayStrikeout7p
Jackson Holliday strikes out swinging.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.1 | 85.5 | 2,352 | – | – | 7.4 | 0.404 | Ball | |
| 2 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.6 | 85.8 | 2,353 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.402 | Foul | |
| 3 | Curveball | 79.2 | 73.1 | 2,767 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.476 | Swinging Strike | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.6 | 85.9 | 2,404 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.402 | Ball | |
| 5 | Splitter | 87.0 | 80.3 | 1,482 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.432 | Foul | |
| 6 | Curveball | 80.2 | 73.7 | 2,863 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.471 | Foul | |
| 7 | Curveball | 80.0 | 74.8 | 2,830 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.469 | Swinging Strike (Blocked) |
2 botChristian Encarnacion-StrandGroundout 94.0 mph1p
Christian Encarnacion-Strand grounds out, pitcher Zack Wheeler to first baseman Bryce Harper.
94 mph off the bat · -6° launch · 16 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 94.5 | 86.7 | 2,291 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.398 | 94 | In play, out(s) |
2 botLeody TaverasFlyout 93.0 mph4p
Leody Taveras flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
93 mph off the bat · 55° launch · 279 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cutter | 91.4 | 85.0 | 2,529 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.409 | Foul Bunt | |
| 2 | Curveball | 79.5 | 73.4 | 2,834 | – | – | 6.7 | 0.474 | Swinging Strike | |
| 3 | Curveball | 79.2 | 73.2 | 2,858 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.475 | Ball | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 95.0 | 87.5 | 2,375 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.395 | 93 | In play, out(s) |
Top 3Philadelphia Phillies2 runs · 2 hits · 27 pitches
3 topBryson StottLineout 81.1 mph2p
Bryson Stott lines out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
81.1 mph off the bat · 25° launch · 280 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curveball | 83.5 | 76.8 | 2,374 | – | – | 6.1 | 0.451 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Sinker | 92.7 | 84.9 | 2,220 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.406 | 81.1 | In play, out(s) |
3 topJustin CrawfordDouble 103.1 mph4p
Justin Crawford doubles (13) on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Beavers.
103.1 mph off the bat · 7° launch · 164 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.2 | 87.1 | 2,481 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.399 | Ball | |
| 2 | Curveball | 86.5 | 80.2 | 2,611 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.435 | Ball | |
| 3 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.3 | 86.2 | 2,194 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.402 | Foul | |
| 4 | Sinker | 93.9 | 86.1 | 2,164 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.401 | 103.1 | In play, no out |
3 topBryan De La CruzHome Run 102.1 mph3p
Bryan De La Cruz homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Justin Crawford scores.
102.1 mph off the bat · 30° launch · 400 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slider | 84.4 | 77.7 | 2,502 | – | – | 6.2 | 0.445 | Ball | |
| 2 | Slider | 85.3 | 78.9 | 2,433 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.441 | Swinging Strike | |
| 3 | Curveball | 83.4 | 76.6 | 2,512 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.452 | 102.1 | In play, run(s) |
3 topTrea TurnerWalk6p
Trea Turner walks.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 94.3 | 86.7 | 2,115 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.400 | Ball | |
| 2 | Curveball | 85.8 | 79.5 | 2,364 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.440 | Ball | |
| 3 | Sinker | 92.9 | 85.5 | 2,042 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.405 | Called Strike | |
| 4 | Sinker | 93.7 | 86.2 | 2,080 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.402 | Ball | |
| 5 | Slider | 83.2 | 77.2 | 2,554 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.451 | Called Strike | |
| 6 | Slider | 86.1 | 79.7 | 2,626 | – | – | 6.2 | 0.435 | Ball |
3 topKyle SchwarberWalk7p
Kyle Schwarber walks.
Mound Visit
Pickoff Caught Stealing 2B
Pickoff Caught Stealing 2B · Trea Turner
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 93.3 | 85.6 | 2,163 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.403 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Sinker | 94.2 | 86.9 | 2,096 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.398 | Ball | |
| 3 | Curveball | 83.9 | 77.3 | 2,477 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.448 | Ball | |
| 4 | Curveball | 86.4 | 80.1 | 2,698 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.436 | Swinging Strike (Blocked) | |
| 5 | Sinker | 95.3 | 87.3 | 2,121 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.396 | Foul | |
| 6 | Curveball | 85.6 | 78.7 | 2,727 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.442 | Ball In Dirt | |
| 7 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.4 | 89.0 | 2,358 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.390 | Ball |
3 topBryce HarperStrikeout5p
Bryce Harper strikes out swinging.
Wild Pitch
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 95.2 | 87.7 | 2,444 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.394 | Foul | |
| 2 | Curveball | 84.6 | 78.2 | 2,537 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.445 | Foul | |
| 3 | Curveball | 87.3 | 81.1 | 2,634 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.434 | Ball | |
| 4 | Curveball | 86.0 | 79.9 | 2,683 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.438 | Ball In Dirt | |
| 5 | Sinker | 96.1 | 88.4 | 2,179 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.390 | Swinging Strike |
Bottom 3Baltimore Oriolesscoreless · 1 hit · 26 pitches
3 botColton CowserStrikeout5p
Colton Cowser called out on strikes.
Pitching Substitution
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 90.3 | 82.2 | 2,277 | – | – | 7.6 | 0.419 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Sweeper | 77.4 | 70.8 | 2,141 | – | – | 7.5 | 0.489 | Ball | |
| 3 | Sweeper | 75.3 | 68.8 | 2,159 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.501 | Called Strike | |
| 4 | Sweeper | 78.8 | 71.9 | 2,143 | – | – | 7.5 | 0.481 | Ball | |
| 5 | Sinker | 91.3 | 83.1 | 2,166 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.414 | Called Strike |
3 botJake RogersWalk7p
J.T. Realmuto challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jake Rogers walks.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweeper | 77.9 | 71.7 | 2,109 | – | – | 7.6 | 0.483 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Changeup | 78.5 | 71.8 | 1,744 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.481 | Ball | |
| 3 | Sinker | 89.6 | 81.6 | 2,216 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.422 | Ball | |
| 4 | Sinker | 89.5 | 81.5 | 2,198 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.422 | Called Strike | |
| 5 | Sinker | 90.5 | 82.2 | 2,205 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.419 | Ball | |
| 6 | Sinker | 90.8 | 82.5 | 2,354 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.416 | Foul | |
| 7 | Sinker | 90.3 | 82.3 | 2,157 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.418 | Ball |
3 botDylan BeaversSingle 79.7 mph4p
Dylan Beavers singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Jake Rogers to 2nd.
79.7 mph off the bat · 17° launch · 190 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 90.3 | 82.4 | 2,208 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.418 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Sweeper | 78.3 | 71.5 | 2,173 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.483 | Ball | |
| 3 | Sweeper | 78.0 | 71.1 | 2,192 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.485 | Ball | |
| 4 | Sinker | 90.3 | 82.5 | 2,224 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.417 | 79.7 | In play, no out |
3 botPete AlonsoLineout 86.0 mph6p
Pete Alonso lines out to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Mound Visit
Wild Pitch
86 mph off the bat · 9° launch · 157 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 90.4 | 82.9 | 2,042 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.417 | Ball | |
| 2 | Sinker | 90.1 | 82.1 | 2,255 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.420 | Ball | |
| 3 | Sweeper | 77.1 | 71.2 | 2,217 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.490 | Ball | |
| 4 | Sinker | 91.4 | 83.4 | 2,273 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.413 | Foul | |
| 5 | Sinker | 92.0 | 84.4 | 2,261 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.409 | Foul | |
| 6 | Sinker | 93.0 | 84.9 | 2,377 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.406 | 86 | In play, out(s) |
3 botGunnar HendersonLineout 88.7 mph4p
Gunnar Henderson lines out to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz.
88.7 mph off the bat · 22° launch · 331 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweeper | 75.9 | 70.0 | 2,099 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.496 | Ball | |
| 2 | Sweeper | 77.1 | 71.2 | 2,322 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.487 | Swinging Strike | |
| 3 | Sinker | 91.3 | 83.7 | 2,248 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.413 | Ball | |
| 4 | Sweeper | 78.0 | 71.9 | 2,201 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.483 | 88.7 | In play, out(s) |
Top 4Philadelphia Phillies2 runs · 2 hits · 25 pitches
4 topAlec BohmSingle 96.0 mph4p
Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jackson Holliday.
Pitching Substitution
96 mph off the bat · -21° launch · 5 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweeper | 86.9 | 80.2 | 2,993 | – | – | 6.1 | 0.432 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Sinker | 97.6 | 90.0 | 2,450 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.384 | Foul | |
| 3 | Sweeper | 87.8 | 81.3 | 2,937 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.429 | Ball | |
| 4 | Sweeper | 86.5 | 79.6 | 2,896 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.435 | 96 | In play, no out |
4 topBrandon MarshSingle 99.2 mph1p
Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Alec Bohm to 2nd.
99.2 mph off the bat · 10° launch · 212 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.2 | 89.0 | 2,646 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.389 | 99.2 | In play, no out |
4 topJ.T. RealmutoWalk6p
J.T. Realmuto walks. Alec Bohm to 3rd. Brandon Marsh to 2nd.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cutter | 91.3 | 85.2 | 2,474 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.409 | Ball | |
| 2 | Cutter | 90.7 | 84.5 | 2,647 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.412 | Foul | |
| 3 | Sweeper | 86.5 | 80.0 | 2,816 | – | – | 6.3 | 0.434 | Called Strike | |
| 4 | Sweeper | 86.6 | 80.2 | 2,752 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.434 | Ball | |
| 5 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.3 | 89.0 | 2,623 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.388 | Ball | |
| 6 | Cutter | 91.4 | 84.8 | 2,553 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.410 | Ball |
4 topBryson StottWalk4p
Bryson Stott walks. Alec Bohm scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd.
Mound Visit
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 95.8 | 87.4 | 2,465 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.394 | Ball | |
| 2 | Sinker | 94.9 | 87.2 | 2,449 | – | – | 6.7 | 0.397 | Ball In Dirt | |
| 3 | Four-Seam Fastball | 95.2 | 87.3 | 2,591 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.394 | Ball | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.9 | 89.0 | 2,637 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.389 | Ball In Dirt |
4 topJustin CrawfordGroundout 83.9 mph3p
Justin Crawford grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso. Brandon Marsh scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd. Bryson Stott to 2nd.
83.9 mph off the bat · -3° launch · 37 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.9 | 89.2 | 2,651 | – | – | 6.7 | 0.387 | Missed Bunt | |
| 2 | Changeup | 88.4 | 82.2 | 1,298 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.424 | Ball In Dirt | |
| 3 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.4 | 88.7 | 2,589 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.389 | 83.9 | In play, run(s) |
4 topBryan De La CruzPop Out 80.7 mph6p
Bryan De La Cruz pops out to second baseman Jackson Holliday.
80.7 mph off the bat · 62° launch · 159 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cutter | 91.0 | 84.3 | 2,688 | – | – | 6.7 | 0.411 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.6 | 88.6 | 2,616 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.389 | Ball | |
| 3 | Sweeper | 86.9 | 79.2 | 2,947 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.435 | Swinging Strike | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 97.1 | 88.9 | 2,615 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.387 | Foul | |
| 5 | Four-Seam Fastball | 96.3 | 88.0 | 2,658 | – | – | 6.7 | 0.391 | Foul | |
| 6 | Sweeper | 87.9 | 80.9 | 2,960 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.427 | 80.7 | In play, out(s) |
4 topTrea TurnerLineout 96.1 mph1p
Trea Turner lines out to left fielder Dylan Beavers.
96.1 mph off the bat · 22° launch · 358 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweeper | 86.2 | 79.6 | 2,900 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.435 | 96.1 | In play, out(s) |
Bottom 4Baltimore Oriolesscoreless · 1 hit · 13 pitches
4 botTaylor WardSingle 103.7 mph5p
Taylor Ward singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford.
Pitching Substitution
103.7 mph off the bat · 10° launch · 193 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 92.9 | 85.2 | 2,008 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.405 | Ball | |
| 2 | Sinker | 92.9 | 85.0 | 2,085 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.405 | Ball | |
| 3 | Sinker | 92.8 | 85.6 | 1,967 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.405 | Called Strike | |
| 4 | Slider | 85.3 | 79.2 | 2,182 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.441 | Ball | |
| 5 | Sinker | 92.7 | 85.6 | 1,942 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.405 | 103.7 | In play, no out |
4 botJackson HollidayStrikeout6p
Jackson Holliday called out on strikes.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 93.9 | 86.1 | 2,014 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.400 | Swinging Strike | |
| 2 | Slider | 86.5 | 79.1 | 2,235 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.437 | Ball | |
| 3 | Sinker | 93.1 | 85.8 | 1,874 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.404 | Ball | |
| 4 | Sinker | 93.6 | 86.2 | 2,054 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.402 | Ball | |
| 5 | Sinker | 93.4 | 85.9 | 2,082 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.403 | Called Strike | |
| 6 | Sinker | 93.9 | 86.4 | 2,102 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.401 | Called Strike |
4 botChristian Encarnacion-StrandGrounded Into DP 85.8 mph2p
Christian Encarnacion-Strand grounds into a double play, third baseman Alec Bohm to second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper. Taylor Ward out at 2nd. Christian Encarnacion-Strand out at 1st.
85.8 mph off the bat · -5° launch · 19 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.6 | 86.6 | 2,092 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.398 | Ball | |
| 2 | Sinker | 92.5 | 85.1 | 2,020 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.407 | 85.8 | In play, out(s) |
Top 5Philadelphia Phillies1 run · 2 hits · 12 pitches
5 topKyle SchwarberStrikeout3p
Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
Pitching Substitution
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 92.2 | 84.9 | 2,180 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.408 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Slider | 82.2 | 76.7 | 2,074 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.457 | Swinging Strike | |
| 3 | Sinker | 93.6 | 86.1 | 2,292 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.401 | Swinging Strike |
5 topBryce HarperHome Run 100.9 mph4p
Bryce Harper homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field.
100.9 mph off the bat · 27° launch · 419 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 92.8 | 85.3 | 2,324 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.405 | Foul | |
| 2 | Slider | 82.3 | 76.7 | 2,021 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.455 | Ball | |
| 3 | Slider | 81.6 | 76.4 | 2,085 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.458 | Swinging Strike | |
| 4 | Slider | 84.2 | 78.2 | 2,127 | – | – | 7.2 | 0.446 | 100.9 | In play, run(s) |
5 topAlec BohmSingle 94.6 mph3p
Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to right fielder Leody Taveras.
94.6 mph off the bat · 14° launch · 256 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.0 | 85.8 | 2,159 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.403 | Foul | |
| 2 | Changeup | 84.4 | 78.5 | 1,813 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.442 | Ball | |
| 3 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.2 | 86.9 | 2,330 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.399 | 94.6 | In play, no out |
5 topBrandon MarshGrounded Into DP 91.9 mph2p
Brandon Marsh grounds into a double play, third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso. Alec Bohm out at 2nd. Brandon Marsh out at 1st.
91.9 mph off the bat · -24° launch · 4 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slider | 82.1 | 76.3 | 2,094 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.457 | Ball | |
| 2 | Sinker | 92.3 | 85.4 | 2,189 | – | – | 7.3 | 0.407 | 91.9 | In play, out(s) |
Bottom 5Baltimore Oriolesscoreless · 1 hit · 17 pitches
5 botLeody TaverasStrikeout5p
Leody Taveras strikes out swinging.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.1 | 85.9 | 2,063 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.403 | Called Strike | |
| 2 | Slider | 84.9 | 77.1 | 2,215 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.446 | Foul | |
| 3 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.1 | 86.7 | 1,978 | – | – | 6.7 | 0.398 | Ball | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.7 | 86.4 | 1,869 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.401 | Ball | |
| 5 | Slider | 85.1 | 78.5 | 2,047 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.441 | Swinging Strike |
5 botColton CowserLineout 92.0 mph5p
Colton Cowser lines out to left fielder Brandon Marsh in foul territory.
92 mph off the bat · 25° launch · 309 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 94.3 | 87.5 | 1,714 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.398 | Ball | |
| 2 | Sinker | 93.0 | 86.3 | 1,824 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.403 | Called Strike | |
| 3 | Slider | 86.7 | 80.4 | 2,226 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.432 | Ball | |
| 4 | Slider | 86.5 | 79.6 | 2,207 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.435 | Called Strike | |
| 5 | Slider | 86.9 | 80.2 | 2,186 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.433 | 92 | In play, out(s) |
5 botJake RogersSingle 96.5 mph2p
Jake Rogers singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
96.5 mph off the bat · 8° launch · 122 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinker | 92.7 | 85.6 | 1,929 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.404 | Ball | |
| 2 | Sinker | 93.5 | 86.2 | 1,983 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.402 | 96.5 | In play, no out |
5 botDylan BeaversStrikeout5p
Dylan Beavers called out on strikes.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slider | 86.9 | 80.7 | 2,062 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.432 | Ball | |
| 2 | Sinker | 91.4 | 84.7 | 2,039 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.410 | Called Strike | |
| 3 | Slider | 86.1 | 80.1 | 1,951 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.436 | Ball In Dirt | |
| 4 | Slider | 86.9 | 80.1 | 2,065 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.433 | Called Strike | |
| 5 | Sinker | 93.6 | 85.9 | 2,021 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.402 | Called Strike |
Top 6Philadelphia Phillies3 runs · 3 hits · 30 pitches
6 topJ.T. RealmutoSingle 97.3 mph7p
J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers.
Pitching Substitution
97.3 mph off the bat · 17° launch · 247 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.3 | 85.1 | 2,219 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.404 | Ball | |
| 2 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.6 | 85.5 | 2,237 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.403 | Foul | |
| 3 | Cutter | 86.4 | 80.3 | 2,178 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.434 | Swinging Strike | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.9 | 85.8 | 2,282 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.401 | Foul | |
| 5 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.8 | 84.9 | 2,247 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.403 | Ball | |
| 6 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.0 | 85.6 | 2,345 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.401 | Foul | |
| 7 | Cutter | 87.2 | 81.2 | 2,216 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.429 | 97.3 | In play, no out |
6 topBryson StottWalk4p
Bryson Stott walks. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curveball | 76.5 | 70.9 | 2,175 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.490 | Ball | |
| 2 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.0 | 85.0 | 2,288 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.404 | Ball | |
| 3 | Changeup | 85.0 | 78.4 | 1,849 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.443 | Ball | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 92.1 | 84.4 | 2,228 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.409 | Ball |
6 topJustin CrawfordSingle 78.4 mph4p
Justin Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers. J.T. Realmuto scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. Justin Crawford to 2nd.
78.4 mph off the bat · 27° launch · 262 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curveball | 77.7 | 72.3 | 2,240 | – | – | 6.7 | 0.485 | Ball In Dirt | |
| 2 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.5 | 85.7 | 2,288 | – | – | 6.7 | 0.402 | Ball | |
| 3 | Changeup | 85.6 | 78.4 | 2,202 | – | – | 7.0 | 0.441 | Called Strike | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.8 | 86.8 | 2,327 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.400 | 78.4 | In play, run(s) |
6 topBryan De La CruzSac Fly 97.9 mph1p
Bryan De La Cruz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Colton Cowser. Bryson Stott scores.
Mound Visit
97.9 mph off the bat · 18° launch · 315 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cutter | 85.6 | 79.4 | 2,167 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.437 | 97.9 | In play, run(s) |
6 topTrea TurnerSingle 89.7 mph3p
Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Justin Crawford to 3rd.
89.7 mph off the bat · -10° launch · 14 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cutter | 85.4 | 79.1 | 2,029 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.439 | Foul | |
| 2 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.1 | 85.1 | 2,234 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.404 | Ball | |
| 3 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.0 | 85.9 | 2,268 | – | – | 6.7 | 0.403 | 89.7 | In play, no out |
6 topKyle SchwarberSac Fly 105.5 mph3p
Kyle Schwarber out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Justin Crawford scores.
105.5 mph off the bat · 16° launch · 319 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.6 | 85.6 | 2,277 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.403 | Ball | |
| 2 | Changeup | 85.3 | 77.9 | 2,230 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.443 | Called Strike | |
| 3 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.5 | 85.0 | 2,411 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.404 | 105.5 | In play, run(s) |
6 topBryce HarperWalk7p
Bryce Harper walks. Trea Turner to 2nd.
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Changeup | 84.0 | 77.1 | 2,271 | – | – | 6.8 | 0.448 | Foul | |
| 2 | Curveball | 76.3 | 71.0 | 2,241 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.491 | Foul | |
| 3 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.4 | 85.3 | 2,230 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.403 | Ball | |
| 4 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.2 | 86.6 | 2,298 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.399 | Foul | |
| 5 | Four-Seam Fastball | 94.6 | 86.6 | 2,453 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.397 | Ball | |
| 6 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.7 | 86.0 | 2,396 | – | – | 6.5 | 0.402 | Ball | |
| 7 | Changeup | 85.5 | 78.4 | 2,318 | – | – | 6.6 | 0.440 | Ball |
6 topAlec BohmForceout 95.3 mph1p
Alec Bohm grounds into a force out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Bryce Harper out at 2nd.
95.3 mph off the bat · -11° launch · 11 ft
| # | Pitch | MPH | At plate | Spin | Horiz | Vert | Ext | Time | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four-Seam Fastball | 93.7 | 85.5 | 2,294 | – | – | 6.9 | 0.403 | 95.3 | In play, out(s) |
Bottom 6Baltimore Oriolesscoreless · 0 hits · 0 pitches
6 botPete AlonsoGame Advisory0p
Status Change - Delayed: Rain
Pitching Substitution
No pitch data.
Projection
99%Philadelphia Phillies win probability
9.5 – 2.0projected score
8–12 / 0–584% of outcomes
Starting pitchers
Orion KerkeringPhiladelphia Phillies
Innings0.7 0.3–1.0
Strikeouts0.8 0–2
Walks0.5 0–1
Hits allowed0.7 0–2
Home runs0.1 0–0
Runs allowed0.2 0–1
Pitches17 12–20
Kyle BradishBaltimore Orioles
Innings2.5 1.7–3.0
Strikeouts2.5 1–4
Walks1.1 0–2
Hits allowed2.3 1–4
Home runs0.3 0–1
Runs allowed1.1 0–3
Pitches44 38–52
Each figure is the median of the simulated games with an 80% range beside it. Pitch counts are estimated from batters faced (fitted on 17,200 real outings; typical error 8 pitches). These assume the starter is not pulled early for a reason the model cannot see — an injury, a blowout, or a quick hook.
Estimates, not predictions. Full projection and how it was measured.
Umpires
Home Plate: Tripp Gibson · First Base: Nick Mahrley · Second Base: Derek Thomas · Third Base: Marvin Hudson