Seattle Mariners 0 – 0 Boston Red Sox
65–74Seattle Mariners · .468
75–64Boston Red Sox · .540
first pitch
Fenway Parkvenue
37,755capacity
Probable starters
Lineups
Seattle Marinersactive roster · lineup not posted45P
José A. Ferrer3.75
13P
Kade Anderson4.50
99RF
Lazaro Montes1.850
90SS
Brock Rodden.573
Boston Red Soxactive roster · lineup not posted68P
Alec Gamboa1.04
64P
Jake Bennett3.27
65P
Jedixson Paez18.90
75P
Wyatt Olds1.08
Head to head
269–197Boston Red Sox all-time
466meetings
1977first met
2,407–2,093runs
Recent meetings
2026-08-318–9Boston Red Sox won
2026-06-213–1Seattle Mariners won
2026-06-211–5Boston Red Sox won
2026-06-202–6Boston Red Sox won
2025-06-181–3Boston Red Sox won
2025-06-178–0Seattle Mariners won
2025-06-160–2Boston Red Sox won
2025-04-244–3Seattle Mariners won
Projection
54%Seattle Mariners win probability
5.3 – 4.8projected score
1–10 / 1–980% ranges
Starting pitchers
Bryce MillerSeattle Mariners
Innings5.2 3.7–7.0
Strikeouts5.0 2–8
Walks1.9 0–4
Hits allowed5.4 3–9
Home runs0.9 0–2
Runs allowed2.7 0–6
Pitches87 63–110
Patrick SandovalBoston Red Sox
Innings4.9 3.3–6.7
Strikeouts5.0 2–8
Walks2.4 1–4
Hits allowed5.5 3–9
Home runs0.6 0–2
Runs allowed2.7 0–6
Pitches86 63–110
Each figure is the median of the simulated games with an 80% range beside it. Pitch counts are estimated from batters faced (fitted on 17,200 real outings; typical error 8 pitches). These assume the starter is not pulled early for a reason the model cannot see — an injury, a blowout, or a quick hook.
Estimates, not predictions. Full projection and how it was measured.