← BoardMiami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals

Miami Marlins 0 – 0 Kansas City Royals

69–69Miami Marlins · .500
62–76Kansas City Royals · .449
first pitch
Kauffman Stadiumvenue
38,427capacity

Probable starters

Miami Marlins
Eury Pérez
7–10 · 3.44 ERA · 142 K in 131 IP
Career: 19–22 · 3.60 ERA · 355 K
Kansas City Royals
Noah Cameron
9–8 · 3.98 ERA · 131 K in 149 IP
Career: 18–15 · 3.50 ERA · 245 K

Lineups

Miami Marlinsactive roster · lineup not posted
281BKyle Stowers.793
213BGraham Pauley.594
83BJavier Sanoja.740
193BLeo Jiménez.565
64CBrian Navarreto.405
80CJoe Mack.698
87CFJakob Marsee.653
50DHAgustín Ramírez.668
13LFHeriberto Hernández.773
31PBradley Blalock
58PCade Gibson5.67
53PCalvin Faucher3.84
90PDax Fulton4.50
39PEury Pérez3.44
79PJack Ralston1.80
26PJanson Junk4.11
95PJosh Ekness2.84
49PMichael Petersen3.36
65PRyan Gusto3.86
22PSandy Alcantara3.46
30PTyler Phillips3.43
55PTyler Zuber3.98
38PVictor Vodnik4.91
3RFEsteury Ruiz.778
18RFGriffin Conine.838
17RFOwen Caissie.702
68SSJared Serna.000
6SSOtto Lopez.782
Kansas City Royalsactive roster · lineup not posted
91BVinnie Pasquantino.713
403BJosh Rojas.661
123BNick Loftin.718
22CCarter Jensen.722
18CLuke Maile.449
28CFKyle Isbel.638
13DHSalvador Perez.633
8LFDrew Waters
1LFIsaac Collins.679
24LFMatthew Lugo.666
56PAlex Lange5.81
34PAnthony Gose0.00
50PConnor Thomas12.08
26PCraig Kimbrel4.05
41PDaniel Lynch IV3.06
51PEaston McGee7.56
74PJose Cuas1.80
52PMichael Wacha3.32
61PNate Pearson2.34
65PNoah Cameron3.98
35PNolan Hoffman3.18
62PRandy Dobnak2.65
67PSeth Lugo5.03
64PSteven Cruz4.35
14RFJac Caglianone.829
16RFJohn Rave.696
7SSBobby Witt Jr..811
2SSTyler Tolbert.805

Projection

51%Miami Marlins win probability
4.3 – 3.7projected score
1–8 / 1–780% ranges

Starting pitchers

Eury PérezMiami Marlins
Innings5.2 3.7–7.0
Strikeouts5.6 3–9
Walks2.2 0–4
Hits allowed4.1 2–7
Home runs0.6 0–2
Runs allowed1.9 0–4
Pitches83 60–107
2+ strikeouts98%
3+ strikeouts92%
4+ strikeouts81%
5+ strikeouts66%
6+ strikeouts50%
7+ strikeouts34%
Noah CameronKansas City Royals
Innings5.7 4.0–7.7
Strikeouts5.7 3–9
Walks2.1 0–4
Hits allowed5.2 2–8
Home runs0.7 0–2
Runs allowed2.4 0–5
Pitches92 67–118
3+ strikeouts93%
4+ strikeouts82%
5+ strikeouts68%
6+ strikeouts51%
7+ strikeouts34%
8+ strikeouts22%
Each figure is the median of the simulated games with an 80% range beside it. Pitch counts are estimated from batters faced (fitted on 17,200 real outings; typical error 8 pitches). These assume the starter is not pulled early for a reason the model cannot see — an injury, a blowout, or a quick hook.
Estimates, not predictions. Full projection and how it was measured.