Atlanta Braves 0 – 0 Washington Nationals
82–57Atlanta Braves · .590
67–74Washington Nationals · .475
first pitch
Nationals Parkvenue
41,376capacity
Probable starters
Lineups
76P
Blake Burkhalter9.00
811B
Abimelec Ortiz.664
281B
Yohandy Morales2.000
45LF
Andrew Pinckney.820
73P
Erik Tolman0.00
25P
Jackson Kent5.59
72P
Jared Simpson0.00
43P
Luis Perales21.00
76P
Will Dion3.38
Head to head
177–199Washington Nationals all-time
376meetings
2005first met
1,602–1,755runs
Recent meetings
2026-08-024–2Atlanta Braves won
2026-08-018–3Atlanta Braves won
2026-07-316–2Atlanta Braves won
2026-07-305–4Atlanta Braves won
2026-05-241–2Washington Nationals won
2026-05-230–2Washington Nationals won
2026-05-225–4Atlanta Braves won
2026-04-237–2Atlanta Braves won
Projection
56%Atlanta Braves win probability
5.0 – 4.3projected score
1–9 / 1–880% ranges
Starting pitchers
Grant HolmesAtlanta Braves
Innings5.0 3.3–6.7
Strikeouts4.5 2–7
Walks2.2 0–4
Hits allowed4.6 2–7
Home runs0.7 0–2
Runs allowed2.3 0–5
Pitches83 60–107
Brad LordWashington Nationals
Innings5.0 3.3–6.7
Strikeouts4.2 2–7
Walks2.0 0–4
Hits allowed5.0 2–8
Home runs0.7 0–2
Runs allowed2.5 0–5
Pitches83 60–107
Each figure is the median of the simulated games with an 80% range beside it. Pitch counts are estimated from batters faced (fitted on 17,200 real outings; typical error 8 pitches). These assume the starter is not pulled early for a reason the model cannot see — an injury, a blowout, or a quick hook.
Estimates, not predictions. Full projection and how it was measured.