← BoardAtlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals

Atlanta Braves 00 Washington Nationals

82–57Atlanta Braves · .590
67–74Washington Nationals · .475
first pitch
Nationals Parkvenue
41,376capacity

Probable starters

Atlanta Braves
9–5 · 3.71 ERA · 103 K in 129 IP
Career: 15–15 · 3.78 ERA · 296 K
Washington Nationals
5–2 · 3.75 ERA · 64 K in 70 IP
Career: 10–12 · 4.13 ERA · 172 K

Lineups

Atlanta Bravesactive roster · lineup not posted
281BMatt Olson.854
273BAustin Riley.652
15DHKyle Farmer.583
20LFLane Thomas.710
76PBlake Burkhalter9.00
51PChris Sale2.06
46PDylan Dodd2.08
52PDylan Lee2.66
62PRay Kerr2.70
Washington Nationalsactive roster · lineup not posted
811BAbimelec Ortiz.664
281BYohandy Morales2.000
262BNasim Nuñez.546
123BBrady House.710
843BJorbit Vivas.665
17CHarry Ford.715
30CFJacob Young.710
8DHJosé Tena.690
45LFAndrew Pinckney.820
41PBrad Lord3.75
73PErik Tolman0.00
25PJackson Kent5.59
27PJake Irvin5.57
72PJared Simpson0.00
43PLuis Perales21.00
76PWill Dion3.38
5SSCJ Abrams.852

Head to head

177–199Washington Nationals all-time
376meetings
2005first met
1,602–1,755runs
Recent meetings
2026-08-024–2Atlanta Braves won
2026-08-018–3Atlanta Braves won
2026-07-316–2Atlanta Braves won
2026-07-305–4Atlanta Braves won
2026-05-241–2Washington Nationals won
2026-05-230–2Washington Nationals won
2026-05-225–4Atlanta Braves won
2026-04-237–2Atlanta Braves won

Projection

56%Atlanta Braves win probability
5.0 – 4.3projected score
1–9 / 1–880% ranges

Starting pitchers

Grant HolmesAtlanta Braves
Innings5.0 3.3–6.7
Strikeouts4.5 2–7
Walks2.2 0–4
Hits allowed4.6 2–7
Home runs0.7 0–2
Runs allowed2.3 0–5
Pitches83 60–107
2+ strikeouts94%
3+ strikeouts83%
4+ strikeouts67%
5+ strikeouts48%
6+ strikeouts30%
7+ strikeouts17%
Brad LordWashington Nationals
Innings5.0 3.3–6.7
Strikeouts4.2 2–7
Walks2.0 0–4
Hits allowed5.0 2–8
Home runs0.7 0–2
Runs allowed2.5 0–5
Pitches83 60–107
2+ strikeouts93%
3+ strikeouts81%
4+ strikeouts62%
5+ strikeouts42%
6+ strikeouts24%
7+ strikeouts13%
Each figure is the median of the simulated games with an 80% range beside it. Pitch counts are estimated from batters faced (fitted on 17,200 real outings; typical error 8 pitches). These assume the starter is not pulled early for a reason the model cannot see — an injury, a blowout, or a quick hook.
Estimates, not predictions. Full projection and how it was measured.